Without going into insolvency soon, Virgin Australia risks going the way of Ansett and being sold off for scrap.
For those that seek out the illiquidity premium, this is a rare opportunity to increase your prospective return whilst decreasing the risk of long-term capital loss.
The changes to insolvency protections will allow the weakest business to accrue liabilities and inflict greater losses on their employees and suppliers.
From 2012-2019 central banks should have been unwinding stimulus, but instead they increased it and created a bubble in financial markets and the economy.
As asset valuations are gradually updated, more forced sales and fund lock-ups are likely.
The RBA’s decision to cut rates on March 4th seems more about appearances than cold economic logic.
In the search for an apparent bargain, turnaround stories and cyclical companies are attracting far more capital and attention than they otherwise would.
Bite size updates on soaring global debt levels, anecdotes of yield chasing and the LIC/LIT fee battle.
Bite size updates on Paul Volcker’s legacy, European banks and UK fund lock ups.
Bite size updates on emerging market debt, US auto loans and Virgin Australia’s very junky debt raising.
Bite size updates on leveraged loans, Greece’s non-performing loan securitisation and India’s bad debts.
The RBA cut the Cash Rate on October 1st, but it has again failed to put forward a decent argument for why another cut is required.