A recent paper from the IMF concludes that China may be able to continue its current trajectory for the medium term but in the long term a downturn, likely accompanied by a banking crisis is inevitable.
Credit Snapshots
Bite size updates on high yield spreads, Puerto Rico, Venezuela and China.
Investors Should Loiter Around the Lifeboats
Investors are facing a similar conundrum to a person onboard the Titanic’s maiden voyage who knows how the journey will end. The correct response to the risk ahead is to loiter around the lifeboats in credit and equity investments.
If Australian Politicians Cared About Housing Affordability Here’s What They Would Do
If Australian politicians care about housing affordability and the quality of life of Australians, they will quit talking and start implementing these eight obvious and needed changes.
Four Lessons from Toys R Us and Puerto Rico’s Defaults
The defaults by Toys R Us and Puerto Rico were remarkably similar, even though corporate debt and sovereign debt are quite different. This article highlights three lessons that can be taken from both and one lesson that highlights a key difference between corporate and sovereign debt.
Would You Lend to Tajikistan?
The issue of bonds by Tajikistan this month follows on from recent low quality bond issues from Argentina, Greece and Iraq.
Cryptocurrencies and Blockchain are Just Reruns of 90’s Bubbles
The old saying that history doesn’t repeat but often rhymes sums up the fervour surrounding cryptocurrencies and blockchain.
BIS Nails the State of Global Corporate Debt
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) quarterly report is always worth the read. Whilst it is academic in style and length, it consistently raises material that matters. Taken from the September report, the graphic below highlights the big issues for global corporate debt. The rest of this short article explains each component and its importance.